Prediction Markets
Politics odds
As of August 2026, these are the most active politics prediction markets — elections, nominations, and policy outcomes — priced live across Polymarket and Kalshi. Each YES price is the market-implied probability the event resolves true.
Polymarket$123k
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$62k
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$101k
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$470k
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$224k
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$60k
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$83k
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$134k
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$62k
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$62k
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$56k
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$62k
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$105k
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$163k
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$98k
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$56k
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$164k
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$55k
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$76k
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$84k
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$73k
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$71k
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$163k
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$71k
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$73k
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 34dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$37k
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 34dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$393k
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris
0%YES▼50
resolves 3dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$71k
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$122k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6%YES▼1
resolves 4moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$120k
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$222k
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%YES▬
resolves 27moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$548k
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harris
1%YES▼24
resolves 2dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$69k
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 34dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$506k
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%YES▼1
resolves 8moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$76k
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris
4%YES▬
resolves 1dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$60k
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 34dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$57k
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
0%YES▬
resolves 30dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$124k
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 34dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$74k
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%YES▬
resolves 34dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$93k
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 34dTrade on Polymarket ↗