Prediction Markets
Politics odds
As of October 2026, these are the most active politics prediction markets — elections, nominations, and policy outcomes — priced live across Polymarket and Kalshi. Each YES price is the market-implied probability the event resolves true.
Polymarket$74k
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$107k
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$118k
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$101k
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$60k
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$76k
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$57k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
66%YES▼2
resolves 27dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$223k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
9%YES▬
resolves 27dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$183k
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$63k
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$55k
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$65k
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$106k
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$112k
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$51k
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$109k
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
36%YES▼2
resolves 27dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$64k
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$167k
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$51k
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$96k
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$106k
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$80k
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$67k
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$102k
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$71k
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$698k
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$103k
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$239k
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Dalibor Svrcina
0%YES▼50
resolves 4dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$85k
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%YES▲1
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$664k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
3%YES▬
resolves 3moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$54k
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$115k
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$68k
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$100k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
37%YES▲1
resolves 20dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$488k
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1%YES▬
resolves 6moTrade on Polymarket ↗