Prediction Markets
Politics odds
As of June 2026, these are the most active politics prediction markets — elections, nominations, and policy outcomes — priced live across Polymarket and Kalshi. Each YES price is the market-implied probability the event resolves true.
Polymarket$475k
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$855k
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$2.0M
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$1.2M
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$718k
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$467k
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$719k
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$263k
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$600k
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$414k
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$852k
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$542k
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$506k
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$239k
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 4moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$473k
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$795k
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$184k
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 4moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$555k
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
24%YES▲1
resolves todayTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$222k
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$685k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19%YES▬
resolves 30moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$204k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9%YES▼1
resolves 7moTrade on Polymarket ↗