Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” a 2% chance of resolving YES. $84.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 8, 2028. A YES price of 2% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
24h volume
$84.6k
Open interest
—
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?" moved from 2% to 2% across 49 points. Current 2%. Data points: Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 2: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Oct 3: 2%, Now: 2%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 2%
- 24h move
- +1 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 2%
Priced at 2% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 2% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2028, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.