Kalshi
PredictionTrade on the future
What's notable
- Established
- 2021
- Min deposit
- None
- Withdrawals
- ~2d
PolymarketShanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta10%$1.4M 24hPolymarketLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves94%$1.3M 24hPolymarketMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres16%$1.2M 24hPolymarketDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs51%$1.1M 24hPolymarketMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres95%$619k 24hPolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?11%$552k 24hPolymarketShanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou16%$469k 24hPolymarketWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16%$457k 24hPolymarketWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?84%$449k 24hPolymarket2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House28%$377k 24h
Prediction · the edge desk
Find the mispriced edge
Prediction markets price real-world outcomes — elections, the Fed, sports, crypto — as a live, money-weighted probability. This desk is where you find the edge: where Polymarket (global) and Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, US) disagree, which platform is worth your money, and the tools to price it yourself — process, never picks. As of October 2026.
Sponsored
Where the edge is right now
All spreads →Markets are in tight agreement
Cross-venue gaps appear when Polymarket and Kalshi price the same outcome differently — most often during US trading hours. None are open right now.
Scan the full board on the Odds Desk →New here? Get set up
Polymarket and Kalshi don't take cash deposits the way a casino does — you fund with USDC. Our guides walk you through it.
Prediction news
Prediction3h agoIllinois Judge Backs Kalshi, Calls Contracts Swaps
Prediction23h agoGlobal Regulators Push Supreme Court to Hear Kalshi Case
Prediction1d agoPolymarket CEO Slams 100x Token Chasing as Irrational
Prediction1d agoKalshi Kills Volume Rewards After Wash Trade Heat
Prediction2d agoPolymarket V2 Swaps Gnosis Setup for ERC-1155 and pUSD
Prediction2d agoPolymarket Launches Protocol V2 Smart Contract Overhaul
- Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
- No min deposit
- Since 2021
Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.
Platforms we cover
Independent, hands-on reviews — which venue actually pays, the fees, the liquidity, the catch.
Polymarket
PredictionBet on anything
What's notable
- Established
- 2020
- Min deposit
- $1
- Withdrawals
- ~Instant
Manifold Markets
PredictionPredict anything
What's notable
- Established
- 2021
- Min deposit
- None
- Best for
- Learning, niche markets
Limitless
PredictionReal-time markets
What's notable
- Established
- 2024
- Min deposit
- $1
- Withdrawals
- ~Instant
Price the edge yourself
All tools →Start here
All explainers →What is Polymarket?
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market on Polygon, settling trades in USDC. Blocked for US users since a 2022 CFTC settlement, it processed $3.5B+ in volume during the 2024 US election.
What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is the first federally regulated prediction market in the U.S., operating under CFTC oversight since 2020. Trade real-money event contracts legally in all 50 states via ACH.
What are prediction markets?
Prediction markets let traders buy and sell binary event contracts priced by live auctions — not fixed odds. They're federally regulated by the CFTC, legal in all 50 US states, and distinct from traditional sportsbooks.
How do event contracts work?
Event contracts are binary derivatives priced as implied probabilities, settling at $1 or $0 based on real-world outcomes. They're traded on CFTC-regulated exchanges like Kalshi and CME.
Is Polymarket legal in the United States?
Polymarket has been legally inaccessible to U.S. residents since a January 2022 CFTC settlement. Here's what that means for U.S. users and what legal alternatives exist.
What is Manifold Markets?
Manifold is a prediction-market platform where users create markets and trade with play-money "mana", making it a low-stakes way to forecast almost anything.