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Edge of the day
PolymarketMubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor
Moved down 26 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.
What moved, and where the market disagrees
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor
Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
43%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
31%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
60%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
23%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
54%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
12%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng
Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
42%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
10%
Starts in 98 days · Politics · Midterms
2026 US Midterm Elections
Latest News
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Crypto12h agoCFTC Issues Second Warning on Prediction Market Filings
Crypto16h agoCFTC Warns Prediction Markets on Contract Shortcuts
Crypto20h agoMiCA Compliance Costs Set Off European Crypto M&A Wave
Crypto1d agoBinance Red-Teams Staff Monthly to Block Hackers
Betting2d agoPennsylvania Bill Targets Prediction Market Insider Trading
Betting2d agoIllinois and Kentucky Set New DFS Regulation Blueprint
Featured Analysis
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What the Prediction-Market Tape Is Saying This Week
Six of eight tracked markets resolved this week, generating $10M+ in volume. The Whitmer 1% is the only forward-looking price worth studying.
11 min read
2026 US Open Tennis Preview: Dates, Favorites & Markets
The 2026 US Open runs August 30–September 13 in New York. Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka lead the markets — here's everything you need to know.
7 min read
WSOP 2026: What This Week's Poker News Actually Means
The 2026 WSOP set series-wide records while the Main Event shrank for a second straight year. Four stories tell one coherent story about where poker's market is heading.
10 min read
Hot Takes
Sports Contracts Won. Now They Must Live With It.
Sports event contracts already dominate prediction-market volume at 80%+. The 2026 World Cup is cementing it — and forcing a reckoning with what the category actually is.
7 min read
Provably Fair: Genuine Tool or Trust Theater?
Provably fair cryptography does eliminate one specific cheat, but leaves players exposed to withdrawal fraud, insolvency, and exit scams. Know exactly what it covers.
5 min read
Soft Fields Are Saving Online Poker — For Now
The softer-field shift in online poker is not a sellout — it's the only viable path forward. Here's why the grinders are wrong to resist it.
6 min read
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