Polymarket
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- 2020
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Edge of the day
PolymarketMoved up 35 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
64%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
71%
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
9%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
42%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
61%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
26%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
45%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
76%
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Week 3 of the 2026 WSOP delivered a landmark crypto payment deal, a media-player bracelet, and a Russian online grinder dominating the $50K High Roller. Here's what it means.
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The 2026 FIFA World Cup runs June 11–July 19 across the USA, Mexico, and Canada. Spain and France top the odds. Here's everything you need to know.
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The Monster Stack broke 10,000 entries on the back of a re-entry rule change. That single shift explains most of this week's WSOP storylines.
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The softer-field shift in online poker is not a sellout — it's the only viable path forward. Here's why the grinders are wrong to resist it.
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Crypto casino rakeback can deliver real value, but only in a narrow window of zero-wagering, high-volume play. For most, VIP programs are precision-built retention machines.
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The CFTC's current posture saves prediction markets from state crackdowns — but durable federal rules are 18+ months away and legally fragile.
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