NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?” a 24% chance of resolving YES, down 21 points over the past 24 hours. $79.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 24% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
24¢
down 21 points 24h
NO
76¢
24h volume
$79.4k
Open interest
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NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?" moved from 31% to 24% across 190 points. Current 24%. Data points: Jul 26: 31%, Jul 26: 34%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 31%, Jul 26: 28%, Jul 26: 28%, Jul 26: 28%, Jul 26: 28%, Jul 26: 29%, Jul 26: 29%, Jul 26: 30%, Jul 27: 32%, Jul 27: 32%, Jul 27: 30%, Jul 27: 30%, Jul 27: 33%, Jul 27: 33%, Jul 27: 33%, Jul 27: 32%, Jul 27: 32%, Jul 27: 32%, Jul 27: 32%, Jul 27: 32%, Jul 27: 32%, Jul 27: 31%, Jul 27: 29%, Jul 27: 29%, Jul 27: 29%, Jul 27: 29%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 30%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 29%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 24%, Jul 30: 24%, Jul 30: 24%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 27%, Jul 30: 27%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 27%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 28%, Jul 31: 28%, Jul 31: 26%, Jul 31: 26%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 27%, Aug 1: 27%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 28%, Aug 1: 26%, Aug 1: 26%, Aug 1: 27%, Aug 1: 27%, Aug 1: 26%, Aug 1: 27%, Aug 7: 21%, Aug 7: 21%, Aug 7: 21%, Aug 8: 25%, Aug 8: 25%, Aug 8: 22%, Aug 8: 24%, Aug 8: 24%, Aug 8: 21%, Aug 8: 21%, Aug 8: 21%, Aug 8: 21%, Aug 8: 21%, Aug 8: 21%, Aug 8: 21%, Aug 8: 22%, Aug 8: 22%, Aug 8: 22%, Aug 8: 22%, Aug 8: 24%, Aug 8: 23%, Aug 8: 23%, Aug 8: 23%, Aug 8: 24%, Aug 8: 24%, Aug 8: 25%, Aug 8: 24%, Aug 8: 24%, Aug 8: 24%, Aug 20: 34%, Aug 20: 36%, Aug 20: 50%, Aug 20: 57%, Aug 20: 54%, Aug 20: 49%, Aug 20: 60%, Aug 20: 53%, Aug 20: 39%, Aug 20: 47%, Aug 20: 49%, Aug 20: 48%, Aug 20: 45%, Aug 20: 46%, Aug 20: 47%, Aug 20: 48%, Aug 20: 49%, Aug 20: 55%, Aug 20: 38%, Aug 20: 52%, Aug 21: 32%, Aug 21: 30%, Aug 21: 28%, Aug 21: 29%, Aug 21: 28%, Aug 21: 28%, Aug 21: 28%, Aug 21: 28%, Aug 21: 26%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 23%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 23%, Aug 21: 23%, Aug 21: 23%, Aug 21: 23%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 24%, Aug 21: 26%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 24%, Now: 24%
The WeeBet Angle
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket
24% — Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026??
- As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 24% probability of YES (down 21 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.