France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?” a 7% chance of resolving YES, down 2 points over the past 24 hours. $885.9k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 7% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
7¢
down 2 points 24h
NO
93¢
24h volume
$885.9k
Open interest
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France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?" moved from 9% to 7% across 119 points. Current 7%. Data points: Oct 23: 9%, Oct 23: 12%, Oct 23: 11%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 13%, Oct 23: 15%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 13%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 13%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 16%, Oct 23: 16%, Oct 23: 19%, Oct 23: 22%, Oct 23: 15%, Oct 23: 15%, Oct 23: 13%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 14%, Oct 23: 15%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 24: 14%, Oct 24: 14%, Oct 24: 16%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 24: 16%, Oct 24: 16%, Oct 24: 16%, Oct 24: 16%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 24: 14%, Oct 24: 14%, Oct 24: 14%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 24: 15%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 9%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 9%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 8%, Oct 25: 8%, Oct 25: 7%, Oct 25: 8%, Oct 25: 8%, Oct 25: 8%, Oct 25: 8%, Oct 25: 7%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 8%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 10%, Oct 25: 8%, Oct 25: 9%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 8%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 18%, Oct 26: 15%, Oct 26: 15%, Oct 26: 17%, Oct 26: 16%, Oct 26: 15%, Oct 26: 14%, Oct 26: 14%, Oct 26: 16%, Oct 26: 15%, Oct 26: 19%, Oct 26: 18%, Oct 26: 17%, Oct 26: 17%, Oct 26: 16%, Oct 26: 16%, Oct 26: 12%, Oct 26: 12%, Oct 26: 14%, Oct 26: 7%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 7%, Now: 7%
The WeeBet Angle
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket
7% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 7% probability of YES (down 2 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.