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Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” a 86% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $64.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 3, 2026. A YES price of 86% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

86¢

up 1 point 24h

NO

14¢

24h volume

$64.6k

Open interest

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Polymarket
as of Aug 5, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?" moved from 87% to 86% across 12 points. Current 86%. Data points: Aug 4: 87%, Aug 4: 86%, Aug 4: 87%, Aug 4: 87%, Aug 5: 87%, Aug 5: 86%, Aug 5: 86%, Aug 5: 86%, Aug 5: 86%, Aug 5: 86%, Aug 5: 86%, Now: 86%

The WeeBet Angle

the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections on Polymarket

86% Drifting on a well-backed number.

86%
Implied
$64.6k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections??
As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 86% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.