Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” a 39% chance of resolving YES. $327.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 31, 2026. A YES price of 39% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
39¢
NO
61¢
24h volume
$327.8k
Open interest
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Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" moved from 16% to 39% across 124 points. Current 39%. Data points: Jul 15: 16%, Jul 15: 17%, Jul 15: 18%, Jul 16: 16%, Jul 16: 16%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 19%, Jul 16: 19%, Jul 16: 19%, Jul 16: 19%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 18%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 18%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 16%, Jul 16: 16%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 17%, Jul 16: 18%, Jul 16: 18%, Jul 16: 18%, Jul 16: 22%, Jul 16: 20%, Jul 16: 20%, Jul 16: 20%, Jul 16: 18%, Jul 16: 18%, Jul 17: 18%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 17%, Jul 17: 19%, Jul 17: 19%, Jul 17: 18%, Jul 17: 18%, Jul 17: 19%, Jul 19: 37%, Jul 19: 42%, Jul 19: 36%, Jul 20: 46%, Jul 20: 47%, Jul 20: 40%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 41%, Jul 20: 41%, Jul 20: 41%, Jul 20: 43%, Jul 20: 44%, Jul 20: 44%, Jul 20: 42%, Jul 20: 42%, Jul 20: 40%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 42%, Jul 20: 36%, Jul 20: 36%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 37%, Jul 20: 37%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 37%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 37%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 36%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 32%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 37%, Jul 21: 37%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Jul 21: 39%, Now: 39%
The WeeBet Angle
Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or on Polymarket
39% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or??
- As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 39% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.