Skip to content
WeeBet
PolymarketOther
☆ Watch

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” a 71% chance of resolving YES. $2.97M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 27, 2026. A YES price of 71% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

71¢

NO

29¢

24h volume

$2.97M

Open interest

—

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Polymarket
as of Oct 26, 2026

YES probability for "Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" moved from 46% to 71% across 951 points. Current 71%. Data points: Sep 28: 46%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 41%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 28: 41%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 29: 42%, Sep 29: 42%, Sep 29: 42%, Sep 29: 42%, Sep 29: 42%, Sep 29: 42%, Sep 29: 44%, Sep 29: 44%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 44%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 29: 45%, Sep 30: 45%, Sep 30: 45%, Sep 30: 45%, Sep 30: 45%, Sep 30: 45%, Sep 30: 45%, Sep 30: 44%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 44%, Sep 30: 44%, Sep 30: 44%, Sep 30: 46%, Sep 30: 46%, Sep 30: 47%, Sep 30: 47%, Sep 30: 47%, Sep 30: 42%, Sep 30: 42%, Sep 30: 42%, Oct 1: 43%, Oct 1: 43%, Oct 1: 43%, Oct 1: 41%, Oct 1: 43%, Oct 1: 33%, Oct 1: 32%, Oct 1: 32%, Oct 1: 33%, Oct 1: 34%, Oct 1: 35%, Oct 1: 36%, Oct 2: 36%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 38%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 38%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 38%, Oct 2: 38%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 38%, Oct 2: 38%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 38%, Oct 2: 38%, Oct 2: 39%, Oct 2: 40%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 3: 45%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 44%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 44%, Oct 3: 44%, Oct 3: 45%, Oct 3: 45%, Oct 3: 45%, Oct 3: 46%, Oct 3: 46%, Oct 3: 46%, Oct 3: 46%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 44%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 43%, Oct 3: 44%, Oct 3: 44%, Oct 5: 51%, Oct 5: 48%, Oct 5: 48%, Oct 5: 47%, Oct 5: 47%, Oct 5: 47%, Oct 5: 47%, Oct 5: 47%, Oct 5: 46%, Oct 5: 46%, Oct 5: 48%, Oct 5: 47%, Oct 5: 48%, Oct 5: 48%, Oct 5: 50%, Oct 5: 49%, Oct 5: 50%, Oct 6: 50%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 49%, Oct 6: 49%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 49%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 49%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 49%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 6: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 7: 49%, Oct 7: 49%, Oct 7: 48%, Oct 9: 53%, Oct 9: 52%, Oct 9: 53%, Oct 9: 53%, Oct 9: 53%, Oct 9: 53%, Oct 9: 53%, Oct 9: 55%, Oct 9: 55%, Oct 9: 55%, Oct 9: 55%, Oct 9: 56%, Oct 9: 56%, Oct 9: 55%, Oct 9: 55%, Oct 9: 55%, Oct 9: 55%, Oct 9: 56%, Oct 9: 56%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 64%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 64%, Oct 9: 64%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 61%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 10: 60%, Oct 10: 59%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 60%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 59%, Oct 10: 59%, Oct 10: 59%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 60%, Oct 10: 59%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 60%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 60%, Oct 10: 60%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 60%, Oct 10: 62%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 61%, Oct 10: 65%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 65%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 66%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 67%, Oct 11: 67%, Oct 11: 68%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 67%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 67%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 67%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 67%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 67%, Oct 11: 68%, Oct 11: 67%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 66%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 64%, Oct 12: 64%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 67%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 66%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 12: 65%, Oct 13: 65%, Oct 13: 66%, Oct 13: 65%, Oct 13: 65%, Oct 13: 65%, Oct 13: 65%, Oct 13: 65%, Oct 13: 64%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 64%, Oct 13: 64%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 13: 63%, Oct 13: 62%, Oct 15: 63%, Oct 15: 63%, Oct 15: 63%, Oct 15: 63%, Oct 15: 63%, Oct 15: 63%, Oct 15: 63%, Oct 15: 63%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 63%, Oct 16: 63%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 64%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 16: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 64%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 17: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 64%, Oct 18: 64%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 66%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 65%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 68%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 18: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 65%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 65%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 65%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 67%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 70%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 68%, Oct 19: 71%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 69%, Oct 19: 71%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 75%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 72%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 20: 74%, Oct 20: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 73%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 75%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 75%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 75%, Oct 21: 74%, Oct 21: 75%, Oct 21: 75%, Oct 21: 76%, Oct 21: 77%, Oct 21: 77%, Oct 21: 77%, Oct 21: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 78%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 75%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 22: 76%, Oct 22: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 75%, Oct 23: 75%, Oct 23: 75%, Oct 23: 74%, Oct 23: 75%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 76%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 23: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 78%, Oct 24: 77%, Oct 24: 78%, Oct 24: 78%, Oct 24: 78%, Oct 24: 78%, Oct 24: 76%, Oct 24: 76%, Oct 24: 76%, Oct 24: 76%, Oct 24: 76%, Oct 24: 76%, Oct 24: 76%, Oct 24: 76%, Oct 24: 74%, Oct 24: 70%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 72%, Oct 24: 65%, Oct 24: 69%, Oct 24: 72%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 72%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 70%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 24: 70%, Oct 24: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 70%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 74%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 74%, Oct 25: 74%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 26: 71%, Oct 26: 72%, Oct 26: 72%, Oct 26: 70%, Oct 26: 70%, Oct 26: 70%, Oct 26: 70%, Oct 26: 70%, Oct 26: 70%, Oct 26: 70%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 67%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 67%, Oct 26: 66%, Oct 26: 65%, Oct 26: 64%, Oct 26: 62%, Oct 26: 65%, Oct 26: 62%, Oct 26: 61%, Oct 26: 66%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 71%, Now: 71%

The WeeBet Angle

Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or on Polymarket

71% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

71%
Implied
$2.97M
Liquidity
+3pts
7-day momentum

Trade this market

WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.

Open on Polymarket →
Kalshi logo

Featured · Affiliate · Prediction

Trade on the future

Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.

More other markets

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 71% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.