What are the odds of Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 8% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).

Where can I trade Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketOther

☆ Watch

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” a 8% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $2.62M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 27, 2026. A YES price of 8% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

8¢

down 3 points 24h

92¢

24h volume

$2.62M

Open interest

—

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Polymarket

as of Oct 26, 2026

8%

−3 pts(24h)

−16 pts(7d)

Falling momentum

YES probability for "Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" moved from 28% to 8% across 1028 points. Current 8%. Data points: Sep 26: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 27%, Sep 27: 27%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 27%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 27%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 27%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 28%, Sep 27: 32%, Sep 27: 32%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 31%, Sep 28: 31%, Sep 28: 31%, Sep 28: 31%, Sep 28: 31%, Sep 28: 31%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 33%, Sep 28: 32%, Sep 28: 34%, Sep 28: 33%, Sep 28: 34%, Sep 28: 34%, Sep 28: 34%, Sep 28: 34%, Sep 28: 34%, Sep 28: 34%, Sep 28: 35%, Sep 28: 35%, Sep 28: 35%, Sep 28: 37%, Sep 28: 39%, Sep 28: 40%, Sep 28: 44%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 44%, Sep 28: 45%, Sep 28: 46%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 45%, Sep 28: 44%, Sep 28: 43%, Sep 28: 42%, Sep 28: 45%, Sep 28: 45%, Sep 28: 45%, Sep 28: 45%, 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11%, Oct 24: 11%, Oct 24: 13%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 14%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 14%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 14%, Oct 25: 13%, Oct 25: 12%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 25: 11%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 12%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 8%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 10%, Oct 26: 8%, Oct 26: 8%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 8%, Oct 26: 7%, Oct 26: 7%, Oct 26: 6%, Oct 26: 8%, Oct 26: 9%, Oct 26: 8%, Oct 26: 8%, Now: 8%

The WeeBet Angle

Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or on Polymarket

8% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

Implied

$2.62M

Liquidity

−16pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or??: As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 8% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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