What are the odds of Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 21% probability of YES (up 14 points in the last 24h).

Where can I trade Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketOther

☆ Watch

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” a 21% chance of resolving YES, up 14 points over the past 24 hours. $809.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 27, 2026. A YES price of 21% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

21¢

up 14 points 24h

79¢

24h volume

$809.8k

Open interest

—

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Polymarket

as of Oct 24, 2026

21%

+14 pts(24h)

+17 pts(7d)

Rising momentum

YES probability for "Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" moved from 6% to 21% across 915 points. Current 21%. Data points: Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 6%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 5%, Sep 28: 4%, Sep 28: 4%, Sep 28: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 3%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 29: 4%, Sep 30: 4%, Sep 30: 4%, Sep 30: 4%, Sep 30: 4%, Sep 30: 4%, Sep 30: 4%, Sep 30: 4%, Oct 1: 4%, Oct 1: 4%, Oct 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The WeeBet Angle

Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or on Polymarket

21% — Major repricing — something changed; check the news.

21%

Implied

$809.8k

Liquidity

+17pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or??: As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 21% probability of YES (up 14 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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