Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?” a 45% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $97.0k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 3, 2026. A YES price of 45% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
45¢
up 1 point 24h
NO
55¢
24h volume
$97.0k
Open interest
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Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?" moved from 44% to 45% across 75 points. Current 45%. Data points: Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Jul 31: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 44%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 43%, Aug 1: 45%, Aug 1: 45%, Aug 1: 45%, Aug 1: 45%, Aug 1: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Aug 2: 45%, Now: 45%
The WeeBet Angle
the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections on Polymarket
45% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections??
- As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 45% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.