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Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” a 11% chance of resolving YES, down 1 point over the past 24 hours. $79.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 3, 2026. A YES price of 11% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

11¢

down 1 point 24h

NO

89¢

24h volume

$79.3k

Open interest

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Polymarket
as of Sep 19, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?" moved from 14% to 11% across 129 points. Current 11%. Data points: Sep 10: 14%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 14%, Sep 10: 14%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 14%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 15%, Sep 10: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 15%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 13%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 11: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 12: 14%, Sep 16: 11%, Sep 16: 11%, Sep 16: 11%, Sep 16: 11%, Sep 16: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 12%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Sep 17: 11%, Now: 11%

The WeeBet Angle

the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections on Polymarket

11% Drifting on a well-backed number.

11%
Implied
$79.3k
Liquidity
−3pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections??
As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 11% probability of YES (down 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.