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Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” a 14% chance of resolving YES, up 3 points over the past 24 hours. $97.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 3, 2026. A YES price of 14% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

14¢

up 3 points 24h

NO

86¢

24h volume

$97.4k

Open interest

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Polymarket
as of Aug 5, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?" moved from 11% to 14% across 50 points. Current 14%. Data points: Jul 29: 11%, Jul 29: 11%, Jul 29: 10%, Jul 29: 10%, Jul 29: 11%, Jul 29: 11%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 12%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 14%, Jul 29: 13%, Jul 29: 13%, Jul 29: 13%, Jul 30: 13%, Jul 30: 13%, Jul 30: 13%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Jul 30: 14%, Now: 14%

The WeeBet Angle

the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections on Polymarket

14% Drifting on a well-backed number.

14%
Implied
$97.4k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections??
As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 14% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.