Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?” a 23% chance of resolving YES, down 2 points over the past 24 hours. $290.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 3, 2026. A YES price of 23% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
23¢
down 2 points 24h
NO
77¢
24h volume
$290.2k
Open interest
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Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?" moved from 25% to 23% across 39 points. Current 23%. Data points: Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 24%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 24%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 25%, Oct 31: 24%, Oct 31: 24%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 22%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Oct 31: 23%, Now: 23%
The WeeBet Angle
Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats on Polymarket
23% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 23% probability of YES (down 2 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.