Prediction Markets
Economy odds
As of June 2026, these are the most active economy prediction markets — Fed decisions, inflation, jobs, and recession odds — priced live across Polymarket and Kalshi. Each YES price is the market-implied probability the event resolves true.
Polymarket$195k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0%YES▬
resolves 15dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$179k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1%YES▬
resolves 15dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$333k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1%YES▬
resolves 15dTrade on Polymarket ↗