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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?” a 18% chance of resolving YES. $325.9k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 29, 2026. A YES price of 18% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

18¢

NO

82¢

24h volume

$325.9k

Open interest

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Polymarket
as of Jul 2, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?" moved from 17% to 18% across 364 points. Current 18%. Data points: Jun 17: 17%, Jun 17: 16%, Jun 17: 19%, Jun 18: 18%, Jun 18: 18%, Jun 18: 18%, Jun 18: 18%, Jun 18: 18%, Jun 18: 19%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 19%, Jun 18: 19%, Jun 18: 18%, Jun 18: 16%, Jun 18: 16%, Jun 18: 16%, Jun 18: 16%, Jun 18: 16%, Jun 18: 16%, Jun 18: 18%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 21%, Jun 18: 23%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 20%, Jun 18: 21%, Jun 18: 21%, Jun 18: 21%, Jun 18: 21%, Jun 18: 21%, Jun 18: 22%, Jun 18: 22%, Jun 18: 22%, Jun 18: 23%, Jun 18: 24%, Jun 18: 24%, Jun 18: 24%, Jun 18: 24%, Jun 18: 24%, Jun 18: 24%, Jun 18: 24%, Jun 18: 25%, Jun 19: 25%, Jun 19: 25%, Jun 19: 30%, Jun 19: 28%, Jun 19: 28%, Jun 19: 28%, Jun 19: 27%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 19: 27%, Jun 19: 27%, Jun 19: 27%, Jun 19: 27%, Jun 19: 27%, Jun 19: 27%, Jun 19: 27%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 19: 26%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 23%, Jun 22: 23%, Jun 22: 23%, Jun 22: 23%, Jun 22: 23%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 24%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 22: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 23: 25%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 24%, Jun 24: 24%, Jun 24: 24%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 24%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 24: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 24%, Jun 25: 24%, Jun 25: 24%, Jun 25: 24%, Jun 25: 24%, Jun 25: 24%, Jun 25: 24%, Jun 25: 24%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 23%, Jun 25: 22%, Jun 25: 22%, Jun 25: 21%, Jun 25: 21%, Jun 25: 20%, Jun 25: 20%, Jun 25: 20%, Jun 25: 20%, Jun 25: 20%, Jun 25: 19%, Jun 25: 18%, Jun 25: 19%, Jun 25: 18%, Jun 25: 17%, Jun 25: 18%, Jun 25: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 17%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 26: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 27: 18%, Jun 28: 16%, Jun 28: 16%, Jun 29: 16%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 17%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 29: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jun 30: 18%, Jul 1: 19%, Jul 1: 19%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 1: 19%, Jul 1: 19%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 1: 19%, Jul 1: 19%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 1: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Jul 2: 18%, Now: 18%

The WeeBet Angle

the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting on Polymarket

18% Drifting on a well-backed number.

18%
Implied
$325.9k
Liquidity
−5pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting??
As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 18% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on July 29, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.