Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” a 16% chance of resolving YES. $215.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 7, 2028. A YES price of 16% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
16¢
NO
84¢
24h volume
$215.8k
Open interest
—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" moved from 15% to 16% across 78 points. Current 16%. Data points: Sep 5: 15%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 5: 14%, Sep 15: 17%, Sep 15: 20%, Sep 15: 20%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 16: 18%, Sep 16: 18%, Sep 16: 18%, Sep 16: 18%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 17%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Sep 16: 16%, Now: 16%
The WeeBet Angle
Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination on Polymarket
16% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination??
- As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 16% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.