Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?” a 12% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $53.9k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on April 19, 2027. A YES price of 12% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
12¢
up 1 point 24h
NO
88¢
24h volume
$53.9k
Open interest
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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?" moved from 14% to 12% across 65 points. Current 12%. Data points: Sep 29: 14%, Sep 29: 14%, Sep 29: 14%, Sep 29: 15%, Sep 29: 15%, Sep 29: 15%, Sep 29: 15%, Sep 29: 15%, Sep 29: 15%, Sep 29: 15%, Sep 29: 15%, Sep 29: 15%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 11%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 12: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Oct 13: 12%, Now: 12%
The WeeBet Angle
Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election on Polymarket
12% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 12% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on April 19, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.