What are the odds of Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 9% probability of YES (down 1 point in the last 24h).

Where can I trade Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketOther

☆ Watch

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” a 9% chance of resolving YES, down 1 point over the past 24 hours. $103.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 31, 2026. A YES price of 9% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

9¢

down 1 point 24h

91¢

24h volume

$103.3k

Open interest

—

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Polymarket

as of Jul 24, 2026

9%

−1 pts(24h)

−1 pts(7d)

Slight downtick

YES probability for "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?" moved from 7% to 9% across 352 points. Current 9%. Data points: Jul 8: 7%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 7%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 7%, Jul 8: 8%, Jul 8: 9%, Jul 8: 9%, Jul 8: 9%, Jul 8: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 8%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 13: 9%, Jul 13: 10%, Jul 13: 10%, Jul 13: 9%, Jul 13: 9%, Jul 13: 9%, Jul 13: 9%, Jul 13: 10%, Jul 13: 10%, Jul 13: 10%, Jul 13: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 11%, Jul 14: 11%, Jul 14: 11%, Jul 14: 11%, Jul 14: 11%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 10%, Jul 14: 9%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 10%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 15: 9%, Jul 17: 11%, Jul 17: 11%, Jul 17: 10%, Jul 17: 10%, Jul 17: 11%, Jul 17: 10%, Jul 17: 11%, Jul 17: 11%, Jul 17: 10%, Jul 17: 10%, Jul 17: 10%, Jul 17: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 9%, Jul 18: 11%, Jul 18: 11%, Jul 18: 11%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 11%, Jul 18: 11%, Jul 18: 11%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 18: 11%, Jul 18: 10%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 19: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 9%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 9%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 9%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 9%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 9%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 10%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 20: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 10%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 21: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 22: 10%, Jul 22: 11%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 9%, Jul 23: 9%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Jul 24: 9%, Now: 9%

The WeeBet Angle

the Iranian regime fall before 2027 on Polymarket

9% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

Implied

$103.3k

Liquidity

−1pts

7-day momentum

Trade this market

WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.

Open on Polymarket →

Featured · Affiliate · Prediction

Kalshi4.7

Trade on the future

Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
No min deposit
Since 2021

Visit Kalshi Read full review →

Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.

FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027??: As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 9% probability of YES (down 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

← The Odds Desk Latest prediction news →