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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” a 6% chance of resolving YES, down 1 point over the past 24 hours. $55.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 6% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

down 1 point 24h

NO

94¢

24h volume

$55.8k

Open interest

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Polymarket
as of Sep 11, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?" moved from 7% to 6% across 191 points. Current 6%. Data points: Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 7%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 17: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 6%, Aug 18: 7%, Aug 18: 7%, Aug 18: 7%, Aug 18: 7%, Aug 24: 8%, Aug 24: 8%, Aug 24: 8%, Aug 24: 8%, Aug 24: 8%, Aug 24: 7%, Aug 24: 7%, Aug 24: 7%, Aug 24: 7%, Aug 24: 7%, Aug 24: 7%, Aug 24: 7%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 7%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 25: 8%, Aug 27: 7%, Aug 27: 7%, Aug 27: 7%, Aug 27: 7%, Aug 27: 7%, Aug 27: 7%, Aug 27: 7%, Sep 1: 8%, Sep 1: 7%, Sep 1: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 6%, Sep 2: 6%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 3: 7%, Sep 3: 7%, Sep 3: 7%, Sep 4: 7%, Sep 4: 7%, Sep 4: 7%, Sep 4: 7%, Sep 4: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 8%, Sep 5: 8%, Sep 5: 8%, Sep 5: 8%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 6%, Sep 5: 6%, Sep 5: 6%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 5: 7%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 7%, Sep 6: 7%, Sep 6: 7%, Sep 6: 7%, Sep 6: 7%, Sep 6: 7%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Sep 6: 6%, Now: 6%

The WeeBet Angle

the Iranian regime fall before 2027 on Polymarket

6% Drifting on a well-backed number.

6%
Implied
$55.8k
Liquidity
−1pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027??
As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 6% probability of YES (down 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.