Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $66.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 9, 2026. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
24h volume
$66.2k
Open interest
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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?" moved from 0% to 1% across 117 points. Current 1%. Data points: Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 1%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Sep 30: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 1: 0%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 9: 1%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 0%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Now: 1%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 1%
- 24h move
- +0 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 1%
Priced at 1% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on December 9, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.