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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $79.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 29, 2026. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

NO

100¢

24h volume

$79.3k

Open interest

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Polymarket
as of Sep 24, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?" moved from 4% to 1% across 392 points. Current 1%. Data points: Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Aug 27: 4%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 4: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 5%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 3%, Sep 5: 3%, Sep 5: 3%, Sep 5: 3%, Sep 5: 4%, Sep 5: 3%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 4%, Sep 15: 4%, Sep 15: 4%, Sep 15: 4%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 3%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 2%, Sep 16: 2%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 2%, Sep 16: 2%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 16: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 17: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 18: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 19: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 22: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 23: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Sep 24: 1%, Now: 1%

The WeeBet Angle

the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting on Polymarket

1% Drifting on a well-backed number.

1%
Implied
$79.3k
Liquidity
+0pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting??
As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on October 29, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.