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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” a 53% chance of resolving YES, down 8 points over the past 24 hours. $802.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 28, 2026. A YES price of 53% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

53¢

down 8 points 24h

NO

47¢

24h volume

$802.2k

Open interest

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Polymarket
as of Sep 16, 2026

YES probability for "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?" moved from 61% to 53% across 115 points. Current 53%. Data points: Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 12: 61%, Sep 14: 61%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 14: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 63%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 62%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 15: 61%, Sep 16: 61%, Sep 16: 60%, Sep 16: 61%, Sep 16: 61%, Sep 16: 60%, Sep 16: 61%, Sep 16: 61%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 61%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 64%, Sep 16: 64%, Sep 16: 64%, Sep 16: 64%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 63%, Sep 16: 60%, Sep 16: 62%, Sep 16: 64%, Sep 16: 65%, Sep 16: 65%, Sep 16: 64%, Sep 16: 64%, Sep 16: 61%, Sep 16: 50%, Sep 16: 55%, Sep 16: 53%, Sep 16: 53%, Sep 16: 53%, Sep 16: 53%, Now: 53%

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there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting on Polymarket

53% Real money is repricing this.

53%
Implied
$802.2k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting??
As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 53% probability of YES (down 8 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.