Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?” a 47% chance of resolving YES, up 11 points over the past 24 hours. $842.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 28, 2026. A YES price of 47% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
47¢
up 11 points 24h
NO
53¢
24h volume
$842.4k
Open interest
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?" moved from 35% to 47% across 136 points. Current 47%. Data points: Sep 11: 35%, Sep 11: 35%, Sep 11: 34%, Sep 11: 36%, Sep 11: 37%, Sep 11: 37%, Sep 11: 36%, Sep 11: 36%, Sep 11: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 38%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 12: 37%, Sep 14: 38%, Sep 14: 37%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 37%, Sep 14: 37%, Sep 14: 35%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 37%, Sep 14: 37%, Sep 14: 37%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 36%, Sep 14: 37%, Sep 14: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 36%, Sep 15: 36%, Sep 15: 36%, Sep 15: 36%, Sep 15: 36%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 38%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 38%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 15: 37%, Sep 16: 36%, Sep 16: 37%, Sep 16: 37%, Sep 16: 37%, Sep 16: 37%, Sep 16: 37%, Sep 16: 38%, Sep 16: 38%, Sep 16: 36%, Sep 16: 35%, Sep 16: 35%, Sep 16: 33%, Sep 16: 35%, Sep 16: 39%, Sep 16: 50%, Sep 16: 45%, Sep 16: 47%, Sep 16: 46%, Sep 16: 46%, Sep 16: 46%, Sep 16: 46%, Sep 16: 46%, Sep 16: 46%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 44%, Sep 17: 44%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 45%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 46%, Sep 17: 47%, Now: 47%
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the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting on Polymarket
47% — Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting??
- As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 47% probability of YES (up 11 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.