What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 91% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).

Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?” a 91% chance of resolving YES, up 3 points over the past 24 hours. $476.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on September 30, 2026. A YES price of 91% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

91¢

up 3 points 24h

9¢

24h volume

$476.4k

Open interest

—

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Polymarket

as of Sep 26, 2026

91%

+3 pts(24h)

+10 pts(7d)

Rising momentum

YES probability for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?" moved from 75% to 91% across 339 points. Current 91%. Data points: Sep 19: 75%, Sep 19: 77%, Sep 19: 77%, Sep 19: 76%, Sep 19: 78%, Sep 19: 78%, Sep 19: 77%, Sep 19: 78%, Sep 19: 79%, Sep 19: 79%, Sep 19: 80%, Sep 19: 80%, Sep 19: 80%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 80%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 82%, Sep 19: 82%, Sep 19: 82%, Sep 19: 82%, Sep 19: 82%, Sep 19: 82%, Sep 19: 82%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 82%, Sep 19: 81%, Sep 19: 70%, Sep 19: 75%, Sep 19: 76%, Sep 19: 75%, Sep 19: 74%, Sep 19: 72%, Sep 20: 67%, Sep 20: 69%, Sep 20: 73%, Sep 20: 79%, Sep 20: 79%, Sep 20: 71%, Sep 20: 71%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 75%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 77%, Sep 20: 77%, Sep 20: 77%, Sep 20: 77%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 77%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 80%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 80%, Sep 20: 79%, Sep 20: 79%, Sep 20: 80%, Sep 20: 79%, Sep 20: 80%, Sep 20: 79%, Sep 20: 80%, Sep 20: 77%, Sep 20: 77%, Sep 20: 76%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 20: 78%, Sep 21: 79%, Sep 21: 78%, Sep 21: 78%, Sep 21: 78%, Sep 21: 81%, Sep 21: 81%, Sep 21: 81%, Sep 21: 81%, Sep 21: 81%, Sep 21: 81%, Sep 21: 81%, Sep 21: 81%, Sep 21: 83%, Sep 21: 83%, Sep 21: 83%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 83%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 85%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 85%, Sep 21: 85%, Sep 21: 84%, Sep 21: 87%, Sep 21: 87%, Sep 21: 86%, Sep 21: 88%, Sep 21: 91%, Sep 21: 91%, Sep 21: 90%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 21: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 91%, Sep 22: 91%, Sep 22: 91%, Sep 22: 91%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 91%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 90%, Sep 22: 91%, Sep 22: 91%, Sep 22: 91%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 22: 89%, Sep 23: 91%, Sep 23: 91%, Sep 23: 91%, Sep 23: 91%, Sep 23: 91%, Sep 23: 91%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 89%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 90%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 87%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 23: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 89%, Sep 24: 89%, Sep 24: 89%, Sep 24: 89%, Sep 24: 89%, Sep 24: 89%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 89%, Sep 24: 84%, Sep 24: 81%, Sep 24: 85%, Sep 24: 85%, Sep 24: 84%, Sep 24: 84%, Sep 24: 85%, Sep 24: 86%, Sep 24: 86%, Sep 24: 87%, Sep 24: 87%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 89%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 87%, Sep 24: 85%, Sep 24: 88%, Sep 24: 87%, Sep 24: 87%, Sep 24: 87%, Sep 24: 86%, Sep 24: 86%, Sep 24: 86%, Sep 24: 83%, Sep 24: 86%, Sep 24: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 86%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 88%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 89%, Sep 25: 90%, Sep 25: 87%, Sep 25: 89%, Sep 25: 90%, Sep 25: 90%, Sep 25: 90%, Sep 25: 90%, Sep 25: 90%, Sep 25: 90%, Sep 25: 89%, Sep 25: 91%, Sep 25: 91%, Sep 25: 91%, Sep 25: 91%, Sep 26: 91%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 86%, Sep 26: 87%, Sep 26: 86%, Sep 26: 87%, Sep 26: 88%, Sep 26: 87%, Sep 26: 89%, Sep 26: 89%, Sep 26: 89%, Sep 26: 88%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 88%, Sep 26: 89%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 91%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 88%, Sep 26: 88%, Sep 26: 86%, Sep 26: 87%, Sep 26: 88%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 91%, Sep 26: 88%, Sep 26: 90%, Sep 26: 91%, Now: 91%

The WeeBet Angle

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 on Polymarket

91% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

91%

Implied

$476.4k

Liquidity

+10pts

7-day momentum

Trade this market

WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.

Open on Polymarket →

Featured · Affiliate · Prediction

Kalshi4.7

Trade on the future

Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
No min deposit
Since 2021

Visit Kalshi Read full review →

Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.

More world markets

Polymarket$1.3M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

0%YES▬

resolves 5dTrade on Polymarket ↗

Polymarket$779k

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%YES▲3

resolves 3moTrade on Polymarket ↗

FAQ

What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30??: As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 91% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

← The Odds Desk Latest prediction news →