What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 11% probability of YES.

Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?” a 11% chance of resolving YES. $220.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on September 30, 2026. A YES price of 11% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

11¢

89¢

24h volume

$220.3k

Open interest

—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Polymarket

as of Aug 17, 2026

11%

−3 pts(7d)

Slight downtick

YES probability for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?" moved from 24% to 11% across 960 points. Current 11%. Data points: Jul 25: 24%, Jul 25: 24%, Jul 25: 24%, Jul 25: 24%, Jul 25: 23%, Jul 25: 24%, Jul 25: 25%, Jul 25: 25%, Jul 25: 25%, Jul 25: 25%, Jul 25: 25%, Jul 25: 24%, Jul 25: 26%, Jul 25: 26%, Jul 25: 24%, Jul 25: 25%, Jul 25: 25%, Jul 25: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 28%, Jul 26: 25%, Jul 26: 25%, Jul 26: 28%, Jul 26: 28%, Jul 26: 30%, Jul 26: 30%, Jul 26: 26%, Jul 26: 29%, Jul 26: 27%, Jul 26: 29%, Jul 26: 29%, Jul 26: 29%, Jul 26: 29%, Jul 27: 29%, Jul 27: 28%, Jul 27: 28%, Jul 27: 29%, Jul 27: 29%, Jul 27: 28%, Jul 27: 28%, Jul 27: 27%, Jul 28: 22%, Jul 28: 23%, Jul 28: 23%, Jul 29: 23%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 21%, Jul 29: 21%, Jul 29: 21%, Jul 29: 21%, Jul 29: 21%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 22%, Jul 29: 21%, Jul 29: 21%, 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11%, Aug 17: 11%, Aug 17: 11%, Aug 17: 12%, Aug 17: 11%, Aug 17: 11%, Now: 11%

The WeeBet Angle

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30 on Polymarket

11% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

11%

Implied

$220.3k

Liquidity

−3pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30??: As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 11% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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