What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 16% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).

Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?” a 16% chance of resolving YES, up 3 points over the past 24 hours. $682.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on August 31, 2026. A YES price of 16% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

16¢

up 3 points 24h

84¢

24h volume

$682.4k

Open interest

—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Polymarket

as of Jul 26, 2026

16%

+3 pts(24h)

+5 pts(7d)

Rising momentum

YES probability for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?" moved from 26% to 16% across 463 points. Current 16%. Data points: Jul 11: 26%, Jul 11: 24%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 22%, Jul 11: 22%, Jul 11: 22%, Jul 11: 22%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 21%, Jul 11: 25%, Jul 11: 25%, Jul 11: 25%, Jul 11: 25%, Jul 11: 25%, Jul 11: 24%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 22%, Jul 11: 23%, Jul 11: 22%, Jul 12: 21%, Jul 12: 19%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 19%, Jul 12: 19%, Jul 12: 19%, Jul 12: 20%, Jul 12: 20%, Jul 12: 20%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 19%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 16%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 17%, Jul 12: 18%, Jul 13: 18%, Jul 13: 18%, Jul 13: 18%, Jul 14: 12%, Jul 14: 12%, Jul 14: 11%, Jul 14: 11%, Jul 14: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 13%, Jul 15: 13%, Jul 15: 13%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 15: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 12%, Jul 16: 13%, Jul 16: 13%, Jul 16: 13%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 19: 12%, Jul 19: 14%, Jul 19: 14%, Jul 19: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 16%, Jul 20: 16%, Jul 20: 16%, Jul 20: 16%, Jul 20: 16%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 15%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 13%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 20: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 13%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 15%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 13%, Jul 21: 13%, Jul 21: 13%, Jul 21: 13%, Jul 21: 13%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 13%, Jul 21: 13%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 21: 14%, Jul 22: 15%, Jul 22: 15%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 15%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 15%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 15%, Jul 22: 15%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 13%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 22: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 14%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 12%, Jul 23: 12%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 13%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 12%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 11%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 23: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 12%, Jul 24: 12%, Jul 24: 12%, Jul 24: 12%, Jul 24: 12%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 12%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 12%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 12%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 11%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 24: 10%, Jul 25: 10%, Jul 25: 10%, Jul 25: 11%, Jul 25: 11%, Jul 25: 11%, Jul 25: 11%, Jul 25: 11%, Jul 25: 11%, Jul 25: 11%, Jul 25: 12%, Jul 25: 12%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 12%, Jul 25: 12%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 12%, Jul 25: 12%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 12%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 14%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 14%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 14%, Jul 25: 15%, Jul 25: 15%, Jul 25: 15%, Jul 25: 15%, Jul 25: 15%, Jul 25: 13%, Jul 25: 14%, Jul 25: 12%, Jul 25: 15%, Jul 25: 15%, Jul 25: 15%, Jul 25: 14%, Jul 26: 14%, Jul 26: 14%, Jul 26: 14%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 15%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 15%, Jul 26: 15%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 17%, Jul 26: 17%, Jul 26: 17%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 17%, Jul 26: 17%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 15%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 15%, Jul 26: 16%, Jul 26: 16%, Now: 16%

The WeeBet Angle

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31 on Polymarket

16% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

16%

Implied

$682.4k

Liquidity

+5pts

7-day momentum

Trade this market

WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.

Open on Polymarket →

Featured · Affiliate · Prediction

Kalshi4.7

Trade on the future

Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
No min deposit
Since 2021

Visit Kalshi Read full review →

Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.

More world markets

Polymarket$983k

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

21%YES▼4

resolves 5moTrade on Polymarket ↗

FAQ

What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31??: As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 16% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

← The Odds Desk Latest prediction news →