What are the odds of Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 17% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).

Where can I trade Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” a 17% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $83.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 17% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

17¢

up 1 point 24h

83¢

24h volume

$83.8k

Open interest

—

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Polymarket

as of Oct 23, 2026

17%

+1 pts(24h)

+1 pts(7d)

Slight uptick

YES probability for "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?" moved from 15% to 17% across 1274 points. Current 17%. Data points: Sep 23: 15%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 15%, Sep 23: 15%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 15%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 13%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 23: 13%, Sep 23: 13%, Sep 23: 13%, Sep 23: 13%, Sep 23: 14%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 13%, Sep 24: 14%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 24: 15%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 15%, Sep 25: 13%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 26: 14%, Sep 26: 14%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 17%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 17%, Sep 26: 17%, Sep 26: 17%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, Sep 26: 16%, 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17%, Oct 23: 17%, Oct 23: 17%, Oct 23: 16%, Oct 23: 17%, Oct 23: 17%, Oct 23: 17%, Oct 23: 17%, Oct 23: 17%, Oct 23: 17%, Now: 17%

The WeeBet Angle

the U.S. invade Iran before 2027 on Polymarket

17% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

17%

Implied

$83.8k

Liquidity

+1pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??: As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 17% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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