PolymarketWorld☆ Watch
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” a 18% chance of resolving YES, up 2 points over the past 24 hours. $260.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 31, 2026. A YES price of 18% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
18¢
up 2 points 24h
NO
82¢
24h volume
$260.8k
Open interest
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The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 18%
- 24h move
- +2 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 18%
Priced at 18% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
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Polymarket$2.6M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
7%YES▼3
resolves 5dTrade on Polymarket ↗
FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 18% probability of YES (up 2 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.