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Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Another Fed rate hike in 2026?” a 78% chance of resolving YES, down 8 points over the past 24 hours. $53.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 10, 2026. A YES price of 78% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

78¢

down 8 points 24h

NO

22¢

24h volume

$53.6k

Open interest

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Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Polymarket
as of Oct 18, 2026

YES probability for "Another Fed rate hike in 2026?" moved from 90% to 78% across 148 points. Current 78%. Data points: Sep 29: 90%, Sep 29: 87%, Sep 29: 87%, Sep 29: 87%, Sep 29: 86%, Sep 29: 85%, Sep 29: 85%, Sep 29: 85%, Sep 29: 85%, Sep 29: 85%, Sep 29: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 87%, Sep 30: 87%, Sep 30: 87%, Sep 30: 87%, Sep 30: 87%, Sep 30: 85%, Sep 30: 86%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 81%, Sep 30: 81%, Sep 30: 81%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 80%, Sep 30: 82%, Sep 30: 81%, Sep 30: 82%, Sep 30: 82%, Sep 30: 81%, Sep 30: 81%, Sep 30: 82%, Sep 30: 82%, Sep 30: 82%, Sep 30: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 1: 81%, Oct 14: 87%, Oct 14: 88%, Oct 14: 85%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 87%, Oct 14: 87%, Oct 14: 87%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 87%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 84%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 86%, Oct 14: 85%, Oct 14: 85%, Oct 14: 85%, Oct 14: 85%, Oct 15: 85%, Oct 15: 85%, Oct 15: 85%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 81%, Oct 15: 81%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 81%, Oct 15: 81%, Oct 15: 81%, Oct 15: 81%, Oct 15: 82%, Oct 15: 86%, Oct 15: 86%, Oct 15: 86%, Oct 16: 79%, Oct 16: 79%, Oct 16: 79%, Oct 16: 79%, Oct 16: 79%, Oct 16: 79%, Oct 16: 78%, Oct 16: 78%, Oct 16: 78%, Oct 16: 78%, Oct 16: 78%, Oct 16: 78%, Now: 78%

The WeeBet Angle

Another Fed rate hike in 2026 on Polymarket

78% — Real money is repricing this.

78%
Implied
$53.6k
Liquidity
−3pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 78% probability of YES (down 8 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on December 10, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.