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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?” a 97% chance of resolving YES, up 20 points over the past 24 hours. $613.1k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on August 3, 2026. A YES price of 97% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

97¢

up 20 points 24h

NO

24h volume

$613.1k

Open interest

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

Polymarket
as of Aug 2, 2026

YES probability for "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?" moved from 65% to 97% across 44 points. Current 97%. Data points: Aug 1: 65%, Aug 1: 68%, Aug 1: 68%, Aug 1: 66%, Aug 1: 67%, Aug 1: 66%, Aug 1: 63%, Aug 1: 61%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 56%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 65%, Aug 1: 61%, Aug 1: 62%, Aug 1: 63%, Aug 1: 65%, Aug 1: 66%, Aug 1: 69%, Aug 1: 70%, Aug 1: 68%, Aug 2: 80%, Aug 2: 80%, Aug 2: 82%, Aug 2: 86%, Aug 2: 86%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 95%, Aug 2: 96%, Aug 2: 96%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 95%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 96%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 97%, Aug 2: 97%, Now: 97%

The WeeBet Angle

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3 on Polymarket

97% Major repricing — something changed; check the news.

97%
Implied
$613.1k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3??
As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 97% probability of YES (up 20 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on August 3, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.