Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?” a 99% chance of resolving YES, up 19 points over the past 24 hours. $1.57M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on August 2, 2026. A YES price of 99% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
99¢
up 19 points 24h
NO
1¢
24h volume
$1.57M
Open interest
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
PolymarketYES probability for "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?" moved from 91% to 99% across 117 points. Current 99%. Data points: Jul 30: 91%, Jul 30: 91%, Jul 30: 91%, Jul 30: 90%, Jul 30: 90%, Jul 31: 91%, Jul 31: 93%, Jul 31: 93%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 92%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 93%, Jul 31: 93%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 93%, Jul 31: 92%, Jul 31: 92%, Jul 31: 92%, Jul 31: 93%, Jul 31: 92%, Jul 31: 92%, Jul 31: 89%, Jul 31: 90%, Jul 31: 92%, Jul 31: 93%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 94%, Jul 31: 66%, Jul 31: 62%, Jul 31: 73%, Jul 31: 71%, Jul 31: 76%, Aug 1: 77%, Aug 1: 79%, Aug 1: 80%, Aug 1: 85%, Aug 1: 85%, Aug 1: 84%, Aug 1: 84%, Aug 1: 80%, Aug 1: 80%, Aug 1: 79%, Aug 1: 79%, Aug 1: 82%, Aug 1: 82%, Aug 1: 84%, Aug 1: 81%, Aug 1: 79%, Aug 1: 81%, Aug 1: 80%, Aug 1: 82%, Aug 1: 80%, Aug 1: 82%, Aug 1: 83%, Aug 1: 79%, Aug 1: 78%, Aug 1: 80%, Aug 1: 80%, Aug 1: 79%, Aug 1: 76%, Aug 1: 75%, Aug 1: 71%, Aug 1: 74%, Aug 1: 76%, Aug 1: 76%, Aug 1: 74%, Aug 1: 75%, Aug 1: 73%, Aug 1: 75%, Aug 1: 61%, Aug 1: 67%, Aug 1: 70%, Aug 1: 71%, Aug 1: 69%, Aug 1: 71%, Aug 1: 72%, Aug 1: 75%, Aug 1: 76%, Aug 1: 77%, Aug 1: 75%, Aug 2: 88%, Aug 2: 90%, Aug 2: 91%, Aug 2: 93%, Aug 2: 92%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 99%, Aug 2: 99%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 98%, Aug 2: 99%, Aug 2: 99%, Now: 99%
The WeeBet Angle
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2 on Polymarket
99% — Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2??
- As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 99% probability of YES (up 19 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on August 2, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.