Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?” a 7% chance of resolving YES, down 2 points over the past 24 hours. $1.60M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 28, 2026. A YES price of 7% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
7¢
down 2 points 24h
NO
93¢
24h volume
$1.60M
Open interest
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Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?" moved from 9% to 7% across 74 points. Current 7%. Data points: Oct 20: 9%, Oct 20: 9%, Oct 20: 8%, Oct 20: 8%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 10%, Oct 20: 9%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 26: 11%, Oct 27: 10%, Oct 27: 10%, Oct 27: 10%, Oct 27: 10%, Oct 27: 10%, Oct 27: 10%, Oct 27: 10%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 8%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 8%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 6%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 8%, Oct 27: 8%, Oct 27: 6%, Oct 27: 5%, Oct 27: 6%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 6%, Oct 27: 6%, Oct 27: 6%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 4%, Oct 27: 5%, Oct 27: 5%, Oct 27: 5%, Oct 27: 3%, Oct 27: 9%, Oct 27: 7%, Oct 27: 6%, Oct 27: 8%, Oct 27: 13%, Oct 27: 16%, Oct 27: 24%, Oct 28: 27%, Oct 28: 15%, Oct 28: 6%, Oct 28: 8%, Oct 28: 5%, Oct 28: 7%, Oct 28: 7%, Now: 7%
The WeeBet Angle
Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election on Polymarket
7% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 7% probability of YES (down 2 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.