Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?” a 80% chance of resolving YES, up 52 points over the past 24 hours. $4.06M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 28, 2026. A YES price of 80% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
80¢
up 52 points 24h
NO
20¢
24h volume
$4.06M
Open interest
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Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?" moved from 34% to 80% across 190 points. Current 80%. Data points: Oct 16: 34%, Oct 16: 33%, Oct 16: 32%, Oct 16: 33%, Oct 16: 34%, Oct 16: 34%, Oct 16: 32%, Oct 16: 31%, Oct 16: 33%, Oct 17: 33%, Oct 17: 33%, Oct 17: 31%, Oct 17: 31%, Oct 17: 31%, Oct 17: 32%, Oct 17: 32%, Oct 17: 32%, Oct 17: 32%, Oct 19: 33%, Oct 19: 32%, Oct 19: 32%, Oct 19: 32%, Oct 19: 33%, Oct 19: 33%, Oct 19: 33%, Oct 21: 32%, Oct 21: 31%, Oct 21: 31%, Oct 22: 32%, Oct 22: 32%, Oct 22: 31%, Oct 22: 31%, Oct 22: 31%, Oct 22: 30%, Oct 22: 30%, Oct 22: 30%, Oct 22: 30%, Oct 22: 30%, Oct 22: 30%, Oct 22: 31%, Oct 22: 31%, Oct 22: 31%, Oct 22: 31%, Oct 22: 31%, Oct 24: 31%, Oct 24: 31%, Oct 24: 28%, Oct 24: 29%, Oct 24: 29%, Oct 24: 29%, Oct 24: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 28%, Oct 25: 27%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 28%, Oct 25: 28%, Oct 25: 28%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 30%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 28%, Oct 25: 28%, Oct 25: 28%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 31%, Oct 25: 31%, Oct 25: 31%, Oct 25: 31%, Oct 25: 30%, Oct 25: 30%, Oct 25: 30%, Oct 25: 30%, Oct 25: 30%, Oct 25: 30%, Oct 25: 27%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 29%, Oct 25: 31%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 31%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 25: 32%, Oct 26: 32%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 29%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 29%, Oct 26: 29%, Oct 26: 26%, Oct 26: 26%, Oct 26: 27%, Oct 26: 27%, Oct 26: 28%, Oct 26: 26%, Oct 26: 27%, Oct 26: 29%, Oct 26: 28%, Oct 26: 28%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 28%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 29%, Oct 26: 26%, Oct 26: 28%, Oct 26: 28%, Oct 26: 29%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 29%, Oct 26: 29%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 30%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 31%, Oct 26: 32%, Oct 26: 32%, Oct 26: 33%, Oct 27: 32%, Oct 27: 32%, Oct 27: 31%, Oct 27: 31%, Oct 27: 32%, Oct 27: 32%, Oct 27: 31%, Oct 27: 29%, Oct 27: 29%, Oct 27: 29%, Oct 27: 27%, Oct 27: 27%, Oct 27: 28%, Oct 27: 28%, Oct 27: 30%, Oct 27: 30%, Oct 27: 30%, Oct 27: 30%, Oct 27: 31%, Oct 27: 30%, Oct 27: 30%, Oct 27: 31%, Oct 27: 30%, Oct 27: 30%, Oct 27: 28%, Oct 27: 28%, Oct 27: 25%, Oct 27: 23%, Oct 27: 21%, Oct 27: 24%, Oct 27: 22%, Oct 27: 24%, Oct 27: 25%, Oct 27: 27%, Oct 27: 27%, Oct 27: 27%, Oct 27: 25%, Oct 27: 27%, Oct 27: 32%, Oct 27: 32%, Oct 27: 35%, Oct 27: 80%, Now: 80%
The WeeBet Angle
Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election on Polymarket
80% — Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 80% probability of YES (up 52 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.