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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

As of November 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?” a 10% chance of resolving YES, down 2 points over the past 24 hours. $260.6k has traded in the last 24 hours. A YES price of 10% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

10¢

down 2 points 24h

NO

90¢

24h volume

$260.6k

Open interest

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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Polymarket
as of Nov 3, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?" moved from 10% to 10% across 6 points. Current 10%. Data points: Nov 3: 10%, Nov 3: 10%, Nov 3: 10%, Nov 3: 10%, Nov 3: 10%, Now: 10%

The WeeBet Angle

the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections on Polymarket

10% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

10%
Implied
$260.6k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections??
As of November 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 10% probability of YES (down 2 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.