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Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” a 63% chance of resolving YES, down 1 point over the past 24 hours. $51.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 63% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

63¢

down 1 point 24h

NO

37¢

24h volume

$51.4k

Open interest

—

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Polymarket
as of Oct 15, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?" moved from 68% to 63% across 272 points. Current 63%. Data points: Oct 3: 68%, Oct 3: 67%, Oct 3: 67%, Oct 3: 64%, Oct 3: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 66%, Oct 4: 66%, Oct 4: 66%, Oct 4: 66%, Oct 4: 66%, Oct 4: 66%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 6: 65%, Oct 6: 66%, Oct 6: 66%, Oct 6: 66%, Oct 6: 66%, Oct 6: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 7: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 66%, Oct 8: 67%, Oct 8: 67%, Oct 8: 67%, Oct 8: 67%, Oct 8: 67%, Oct 8: 64%, Oct 8: 65%, Oct 8: 65%, Oct 8: 65%, Oct 8: 65%, Oct 8: 64%, Oct 8: 64%, Oct 8: 64%, Oct 8: 64%, Oct 9: 64%, Oct 9: 64%, Oct 9: 64%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 61%, Oct 9: 61%, Oct 9: 61%, Oct 9: 61%, Oct 9: 61%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 62%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 9: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 63%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 10: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 65%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 64%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 11: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 62%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 62%, Oct 12: 62%, Oct 12: 62%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 62%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 62%, Oct 12: 62%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 63%, Oct 12: 62%, Oct 13: 64%, Oct 13: 64%, Oct 13: 65%, Oct 14: 63%, Now: 63%

The WeeBet Angle

the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026 on Polymarket

63% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

63%
Implied
$51.4k
Liquidity
−3pts
7-day momentum
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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 63% probability of YES (down 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.
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