Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?” a 80% chance of resolving YES, up 2 points over the past 24 hours. $749.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 80% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
80¢
up 2 points 24h
NO
20¢
24h volume
$749.4k
Open interest
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Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?" moved from 69% to 80% across 261 points. Current 80%. Data points: Oct 9: 69%, Oct 9: 69%, Oct 9: 68%, Oct 9: 68%, Oct 9: 68%, Oct 9: 68%, Oct 9: 69%, Oct 9: 69%, Oct 9: 69%, Oct 9: 69%, Oct 9: 70%, Oct 9: 70%, Oct 9: 70%, Oct 9: 70%, Oct 9: 68%, Oct 10: 68%, Oct 10: 68%, Oct 10: 68%, Oct 10: 67%, Oct 10: 68%, Oct 10: 68%, Oct 10: 69%, Oct 10: 69%, Oct 10: 69%, Oct 10: 70%, Oct 10: 70%, Oct 10: 71%, Oct 10: 70%, Oct 10: 70%, Oct 10: 70%, Oct 10: 70%, Oct 10: 72%, Oct 10: 72%, Oct 10: 72%, Oct 10: 71%, Oct 10: 72%, Oct 10: 72%, Oct 10: 71%, Oct 10: 72%, Oct 21: 70%, Oct 21: 71%, Oct 21: 71%, Oct 21: 71%, Oct 21: 71%, Oct 21: 71%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 71%, Oct 23: 73%, Oct 23: 73%, Oct 23: 73%, Oct 23: 73%, Oct 23: 71%, Oct 23: 71%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 71%, Oct 23: 71%, Oct 23: 72%, Oct 23: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 73%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 72%, Oct 25: 71%, Oct 26: 67%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 69%, Oct 26: 68%, Oct 27: 67%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 66%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 68%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 27: 70%, Oct 27: 70%, Oct 27: 70%, Oct 27: 70%, Oct 27: 70%, Oct 27: 69%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 69%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 69%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 71%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 28: 70%, Oct 29: 71%, Oct 29: 72%, Oct 29: 73%, Oct 29: 73%, Oct 29: 73%, Oct 29: 72%, Oct 29: 73%, Oct 29: 73%, Oct 29: 73%, Oct 29: 74%, Oct 29: 72%, Oct 29: 72%, Oct 29: 74%, Oct 29: 72%, Oct 29: 72%, Oct 29: 72%, Oct 29: 72%, Oct 29: 74%, Oct 29: 75%, Oct 29: 75%, Oct 29: 76%, Oct 29: 74%, Oct 29: 76%, Oct 29: 76%, Oct 29: 77%, Oct 29: 77%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 76%, Oct 30: 76%, Oct 30: 75%, Oct 30: 75%, Oct 30: 75%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 76%, Oct 30: 76%, Oct 30: 79%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 76%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 76%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 76%, Oct 30: 77%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 30: 78%, Oct 31: 78%, Oct 31: 78%, Oct 31: 77%, Oct 31: 76%, Oct 31: 76%, Oct 31: 76%, Oct 31: 76%, Oct 31: 77%, Oct 31: 77%, Oct 31: 74%, Oct 31: 74%, Oct 31: 74%, Oct 31: 74%, Oct 31: 75%, Oct 31: 75%, Oct 31: 75%, Oct 31: 77%, Oct 31: 77%, Oct 31: 78%, Oct 31: 79%, Oct 31: 79%, Oct 31: 79%, Oct 31: 80%, Oct 31: 79%, Oct 31: 80%, Oct 31: 79%, Oct 31: 80%, Now: 80%
The WeeBet Angle
the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026 on Polymarket
80% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 80% probability of YES (up 2 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.