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Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?” a 14% chance of resolving YES, up 6 points over the past 24 hours. $1.14M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 3, 2026. A YES price of 14% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

14¢

up 6 points 24h

NO

86¢

24h volume

$1.14M

Open interest

—

Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Polymarket
as of Oct 31, 2026

YES probability for "Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?" moved from 10% to 14% across 44 points. Current 14%. Data points: Oct 30: 10%, Oct 30: 18%, Oct 30: 17%, Oct 31: 15%, Oct 31: 15%, Oct 31: 15%, Oct 31: 15%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 11%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 12%, Oct 31: 13%, Oct 31: 13%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 13%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 13%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 13%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Oct 31: 14%, Now: 14%

The WeeBet Angle

Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas on Polymarket

14% — Real money is repricing this.

14%
Implied
$1.14M
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 14% probability of YES (up 6 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.