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Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?” a 8% chance of resolving YES, up 2 points over the past 24 hours. $62.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 8% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

8¢

up 2 points 24h

NO

92¢

24h volume

$62.6k

Open interest

—

Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

Polymarket
as of Oct 14, 2026

YES probability for "Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?" moved from 9% to 8% across 47 points. Current 8%. Data points: Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 9%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 13: 8%, Oct 14: 8%, Oct 14: 8%, Oct 14: 8%, Oct 14: 8%, Oct 14: 8%, Now: 8%

The WeeBet Angle

oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate on Polymarket

8% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

8%
Implied
$62.6k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 8% probability of YES (up 2 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.