Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will there be no Hormuz agreement?” a 86% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $81.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 86% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
86¢
down 3 points 24h
NO
14¢
24h volume
$81.2k
Open interest
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Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will there be no Hormuz agreement?" moved from 87% to 86% across 154 points. Current 86%. Data points: Oct 15: 87%, Oct 15: 87%, Oct 15: 88%, Oct 15: 88%, Oct 15: 88%, Oct 15: 88%, Oct 15: 88%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 89%, Oct 15: 90%, Oct 15: 90%, Oct 15: 90%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 15: 93%, Oct 15: 93%, Oct 15: 93%, Oct 15: 93%, Oct 15: 93%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 15: 94%, Oct 16: 94%, Oct 16: 94%, Oct 16: 94%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 95%, Oct 16: 94%, Oct 16: 94%, Oct 16: 94%, Oct 17: 93%, Oct 17: 92%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 92%, Oct 17: 92%, Oct 17: 92%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 91%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 90%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 18: 91%, Oct 19: 83%, Oct 19: 83%, Oct 19: 83%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 84%, Oct 19: 84%, Oct 19: 84%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 20: 85%, Oct 20: 85%, Oct 20: 85%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 88%, Oct 20: 86%, Oct 20: 86%, Now: 86%
The WeeBet Angle
there be no Hormuz agreement on Polymarket
86% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will there be no Hormuz agreement??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 86% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will there be no Hormuz agreement??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.