Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?” a 10% chance of resolving YES. $47.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 10% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
10¢
NO
90¢
24h volume
$47.5k
Open interest
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Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?" moved from 10% to 10% across 12 points. Current 10%. Data points: Oct 12: 10%, Oct 12: 10%, Oct 12: 10%, Oct 12: 10%, Oct 12: 10%, Oct 12: 10%, Oct 12: 9%, Oct 12: 9%, Oct 12: 9%, Oct 12: 9%, Oct 12: 10%, Now: 10%
The WeeBet Angle
there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate on Polymarket
10% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 10% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.