Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?” a 4% chance of resolving YES. $71.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 4% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
24h volume
$71.4k
Open interest
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Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?" moved from 4% to 4% across 66 points. Current 4%. Data points: Oct 15: 4%, Oct 15: 3%, Oct 15: 3%, Oct 15: 3%, Oct 15: 3%, Oct 15: 3%, Oct 15: 3%, Oct 15: 3%, Oct 15: 3%, Oct 16: 2%, Oct 16: 2%, Oct 16: 2%, Oct 16: 2%, Oct 16: 2%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 16: 3%, Oct 17: 3%, Oct 17: 3%, Oct 17: 3%, Oct 17: 3%, Oct 17: 3%, Oct 17: 3%, Oct 17: 3%, Oct 17: 3%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 17: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Oct 18: 4%, Now: 4%
The WeeBet Angle
there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate on Polymarket
4% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 4% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.