Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will there be no Hormuz agreement?” a 89% chance of resolving YES. $214.9k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 89% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
89¢
NO
11¢
24h volume
$214.9k
Open interest
—
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will there be no Hormuz agreement?" moved from 90% to 89% across 29 points. Current 89%. Data points: Oct 11: 90%, Oct 11: 90%, Oct 11: 90%, Oct 11: 89%, Oct 11: 89%, Oct 11: 89%, Oct 11: 88%, Oct 11: 88%, Oct 11: 88%, Oct 11: 88%, Oct 12: 88%, Oct 12: 88%, Oct 12: 88%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Oct 12: 89%, Now: 89%
The WeeBet Angle
there be no Hormuz agreement on Polymarket
89% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will there be no Hormuz agreement??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 89% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will there be no Hormuz agreement??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.