Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?” a 4% chance of resolving YES. $235.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 4% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
24h volume
$235.6k
Open interest
—
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?" moved from 4% to 4% across 12 points. Current 4%. Data points: Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Now: 4%
The WeeBet Angle
there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate on Polymarket
4% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
Trade this market
WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.
Open on Polymarket →- Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
- No min deposit
- Since 2021
Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.
More politics markets
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
FAQ
- What are the odds of Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 4% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.