US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?” a 78% chance of resolving YES. $69.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 78% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
78¢
NO
22¢
24h volume
$69.4k
Open interest
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US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketYES probability for "US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?" moved from 74% to 78% across 114 points. Current 78%. Data points: Oct 9: 74%, Oct 9: 74%, Oct 9: 74%, Oct 9: 74%, Oct 9: 73%, Oct 9: 72%, Oct 9: 73%, Oct 9: 73%, Oct 9: 73%, Oct 9: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 73%, Oct 10: 72%, Oct 10: 72%, Oct 10: 74%, Oct 10: 76%, Oct 10: 75%, Oct 10: 76%, Oct 10: 75%, Oct 10: 75%, Oct 10: 75%, Oct 10: 74%, Oct 10: 76%, Oct 10: 76%, Oct 10: 76%, Oct 10: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 76%, Oct 11: 74%, Oct 11: 74%, Oct 11: 74%, Oct 11: 74%, Oct 11: 74%, Oct 11: 74%, Oct 11: 74%, Oct 11: 74%, Oct 11: 75%, Oct 11: 75%, Oct 11: 75%, Oct 11: 75%, Oct 11: 75%, Oct 11: 75%, Oct 13: 78%, Oct 13: 78%, Oct 13: 78%, Oct 13: 78%, Oct 13: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 77%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Oct 14: 78%, Now: 78%
The WeeBet Angle
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms on Polymarket
78% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 78% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.