What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 35% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).

Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” a 35% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $139.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 31, 2026. A YES price of 35% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

35¢

up 1 point 24h

65¢

24h volume

$139.6k

Open interest

—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Polymarket

as of Aug 24, 2026

35%

+1 pts(24h)

−2 pts(7d)

Slight downtick

YES probability for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?" moved from 55% to 35% across 1127 points. Current 35%. Data points: Jul 25: 55%, Jul 25: 55%, Jul 25: 55%, Jul 25: 55%, Jul 25: 56%, Jul 25: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 55%, Jul 26: 55%, Jul 26: 55%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 55%, Jul 26: 57%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 56%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 59%, Jul 26: 59%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 58%, Jul 26: 59%, Jul 26: 59%, Jul 26: 59%, Jul 26: 57%, Jul 26: 59%, Jul 26: 59%, Jul 27: 60%, Jul 27: 60%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 58%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 59%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 57%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 55%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 56%, Jul 27: 55%, Jul 27: 55%, 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Aug 24: 34%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 34%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 34%, Aug 24: 34%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 36%, Aug 24: 36%, Aug 24: 36%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Now: 35%

The WeeBet Angle

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31 on Polymarket

35% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

35%

Implied

$139.6k

Liquidity

−2pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31??: As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 35% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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