What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 99% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).

Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on October 16, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?” a 99% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $236.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 16, 2026. A YES price of 99% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

99¢

up 1 point 24h

1¢

24h volume

$236.5k

Open interest

—

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

Polymarket

as of Oct 15, 2026

99%

+1 pts(24h)

+9 pts(7d)

Rising momentum

YES probability for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?" moved from 88% to 99% across 388 points. Current 99%. Data points: Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 87%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 89%, Oct 5: 85%, Oct 5: 88%, Oct 7: 90%, Oct 7: 90%, Oct 7: 90%, Oct 7: 90%, Oct 7: 90%, Oct 7: 90%, Oct 7: 90%, Oct 7: 90%, Oct 7: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 90%, Oct 8: 90%, Oct 8: 90%, Oct 8: 90%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 90%, Oct 8: 90%, Oct 8: 86%, Oct 8: 85%, Oct 8: 88%, Oct 8: 88%, Oct 8: 87%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 88%, Oct 8: 87%, Oct 8: 87%, Oct 8: 88%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 89%, Oct 8: 90%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 95%, Oct 8: 95%, Oct 8: 95%, Oct 8: 95%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 92%, Oct 8: 92%, Oct 8: 92%, Oct 8: 92%, Oct 8: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 92%, Oct 9: 91%, Oct 9: 91%, Oct 9: 88%, Oct 9: 88%, Oct 9: 87%, Oct 9: 87%, Oct 9: 87%, Oct 9: 87%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 89%, Oct 9: 88%, Oct 9: 89%, Oct 9: 88%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 89%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 10: 89%, Oct 10: 90%, Oct 10: 90%, Oct 10: 90%, Oct 10: 89%, Oct 10: 90%, Oct 10: 89%, Oct 10: 90%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 92%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 90%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 10: 91%, Oct 11: 91%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 92%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 93%, Oct 11: 94%, Oct 11: 94%, Oct 11: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 93%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 94%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 12: 96%, Oct 12: 95%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 96%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 98%, Oct 13: 97%, Oct 14: 97%, Oct 14: 97%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 97%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 99%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 98%, Oct 14: 97%, Oct 15: 97%, Oct 15: 98%, Oct 15: 98%, Oct 15: 98%, Oct 15: 98%, Oct 15: 99%, Oct 15: 99%, Now: 99%

The WeeBet Angle

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15 on Polymarket

99% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

99%

Implied

$236.5k

Liquidity

+9pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15??: As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 99% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on October 16, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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