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US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?” a 78% chance of resolving YES, up 2 points over the past 24 hours. $287.0k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 31, 2026. A YES price of 78% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

78¢

up 2 points 24h

NO

22¢

24h volume

$287.0k

Open interest

—

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Polymarket
as of Oct 11, 2026

YES probability for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?" moved from 47% to 78% across 606 points. Current 78%. Data points: Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 47%, Sep 19: 48%, Sep 19: 48%, Sep 19: 48%, Sep 19: 49%, Sep 19: 49%, Sep 19: 48%, Sep 19: 48%, Sep 19: 48%, Sep 19: 49%, Sep 19: 46%, Sep 19: 46%, Sep 19: 49%, Sep 19: 48%, Sep 19: 48%, Sep 19: 42%, Sep 20: 42%, Sep 20: 41%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 44%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 44%, Sep 20: 44%, Sep 20: 46%, Sep 20: 47%, Sep 20: 47%, Sep 20: 47%, Sep 20: 47%, Sep 20: 47%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 20: 47%, Sep 20: 47%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 20: 46%, Sep 20: 46%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 45%, Sep 20: 46%, Sep 20: 46%, Sep 20: 44%, Sep 20: 50%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 20: 50%, Sep 20: 50%, Sep 20: 50%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 20: 48%, Sep 21: 55%, Sep 21: 55%, Sep 21: 55%, Sep 21: 55%, Sep 21: 55%, Sep 21: 55%, Sep 21: 55%, 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The WeeBet Angle

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31 on Polymarket

78% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

78%
Implied
$287.0k
Liquidity
+13pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 78% probability of YES (up 2 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.