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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?” a 8% chance of resolving YES, down 2 points over the past 24 hours. $54.9k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 1, 2026. A YES price of 8% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

8¢

down 2 points 24h

NO

92¢

24h volume

$54.9k

Open interest

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Polymarket
as of Oct 15, 2026

YES probability for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?" moved from 12% to 8% across 34 points. Current 8%. Data points: Sep 29: 12%, Sep 29: 12%, Sep 29: 12%, Sep 29: 12%, Sep 29: 12%, Sep 29: 12%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Oct 10: 8%, Now: 8%

The WeeBet Angle

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30 on Polymarket

8% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

8%
Implied
$54.9k
Liquidity
−4pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 8% probability of YES (down 2 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on December 1, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.