What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.

Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $69.7k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 1, 2026. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

1¢

99¢

24h volume

$69.7k

Open interest

—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Polymarket

as of Oct 15, 2026

1%

0 pts(24h)

−1 pts(7d)

Slight downtick

YES probability for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?" moved from 8% to 1% across 594 points. Current 1%. Data points: Sep 22: 8%, Sep 22: 9%, Sep 22: 9%, Sep 22: 9%, Sep 22: 9%, Sep 22: 10%, Sep 22: 11%, Sep 22: 9%, Sep 22: 11%, Sep 22: 11%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 8%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 9%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 8%, Sep 23: 9%, Sep 23: 9%, Sep 23: 9%, Sep 23: 9%, Sep 23: 9%, Sep 23: 9%, Sep 23: 10%, Sep 23: 10%, Sep 23: 10%, Sep 23: 10%, Sep 23: 10%, Sep 23: 10%, Sep 25: 8%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 8%, Sep 25: 8%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 11%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 9%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 25: 14%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 9%, Sep 26: 9%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 5%, Sep 26: 6%, Sep 26: 6%, Sep 26: 6%, Sep 26: 6%, Sep 26: 6%, 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The WeeBet Angle

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31 on Polymarket

1% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

Implied

$69.7k

Liquidity

−1pts

7-day momentum

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

14%YES▬

resolves 3moTrade on Polymarket ↗

FAQ

What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31??: As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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