What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 2% probability of YES.

Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?” a 2% chance of resolving YES. $929.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on August 15, 2026. A YES price of 2% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

2¢

98¢

24h volume

$929.5k

Open interest

—

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

Polymarket

as of Aug 4, 2026

2%

0 pts(24h)

Flat

YES probability for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?" moved from 5% to 2% across 228 points. Current 2%. Data points: Jul 28: 5%, Jul 28: 5%, Jul 28: 5%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 5%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 28: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 4%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 1%, Jul 30: 1%, Jul 30: 1%, Jul 30: 1%, Jul 30: 1%, Jul 31: 1%, Jul 31: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 2%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 1: 1%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 1%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 4%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 2%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 4%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 2: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 4%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 2%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 3: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 3%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Now: 2%

The WeeBet Angle

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15 on Polymarket

2% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

Implied

$929.5k

Liquidity

Trade this market

WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.

Open on Polymarket →

Featured · Affiliate · Prediction

Kalshi4.7

Trade on the future

Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
No min deposit
Since 2021

Visit Kalshi Read full review →

Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.

More world markets

Polymarket$940k

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

21%YES▲2

resolves 5moTrade on Polymarket ↗

FAQ

What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15??: As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 2% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

← The Odds Desk Latest prediction news →