What are the odds of Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 34% probability of YES (up 5 points in the last 24h).

Where can I trade Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketWorld

☆ Watch

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Iran full airspace closure by July 31?” a 34% chance of resolving YES, up 5 points over the past 24 hours. $108.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 31, 2026. A YES price of 34% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

34¢

up 5 points 24h

66¢

24h volume

$108.5k

Open interest

—

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Polymarket

as of Jul 22, 2026

34%

+5 pts(24h)

+7 pts(7d)

Rising momentum

YES probability for "Iran full airspace closure by July 31?" moved from 10% to 34% across 231 points. Current 34%. Data points: Jul 4: 10%, Jul 4: 10%, Jul 4: 14%, Jul 4: 14%, Jul 4: 14%, Jul 4: 14%, Jul 4: 14%, Jul 4: 14%, Jul 4: 14%, Jul 9: 20%, Jul 9: 18%, Jul 9: 19%, Jul 9: 18%, Jul 9: 18%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 20%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 25%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 22%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 24%, Jul 12: 25%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 24%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 22%, Jul 12: 22%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 22%, Jul 12: 23%, Jul 12: 24%, Jul 12: 24%, Jul 12: 24%, Jul 12: 24%, Jul 12: 27%, Jul 16: 33%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 32%, Jul 16: 32%, Jul 17: 32%, Jul 17: 30%, Jul 17: 30%, Jul 17: 30%, Jul 17: 29%, Jul 17: 27%, Jul 17: 27%, Jul 17: 27%, Jul 17: 25%, Jul 17: 25%, Jul 17: 25%, Jul 17: 27%, Jul 17: 26%, Jul 17: 26%, Jul 17: 26%, Jul 17: 26%, Jul 17: 26%, Jul 17: 23%, Jul 17: 24%, Jul 17: 24%, Jul 17: 23%, Jul 17: 25%, Jul 17: 25%, Jul 17: 23%, Jul 17: 24%, Jul 17: 22%, Jul 17: 22%, Jul 17: 23%, Jul 17: 24%, Jul 17: 21%, Jul 17: 22%, Jul 17: 23%, Jul 17: 24%, Jul 17: 28%, Jul 17: 29%, Jul 17: 31%, Jul 17: 33%, Jul 17: 30%, Jul 17: 29%, Jul 17: 31%, Jul 17: 30%, Jul 17: 32%, Jul 17: 28%, Jul 17: 30%, Jul 17: 30%, Jul 17: 31%, Jul 17: 29%, Jul 17: 30%, Jul 18: 29%, Jul 18: 29%, Jul 18: 27%, Jul 18: 28%, Jul 18: 28%, Jul 18: 28%, Jul 19: 39%, Jul 19: 39%, Jul 20: 38%, Jul 20: 39%, Jul 20: 36%, Jul 20: 36%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 33%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 34%, Jul 20: 30%, Jul 20: 31%, Jul 20: 31%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 27%, Jul 20: 28%, Jul 20: 24%, Jul 20: 24%, Jul 20: 25%, Jul 20: 25%, Jul 20: 25%, Jul 20: 24%, Jul 20: 28%, Jul 20: 22%, Jul 20: 23%, Jul 20: 25%, Jul 20: 25%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 25%, Jul 20: 27%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 27%, Jul 20: 27%, Jul 20: 28%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 27%, Jul 20: 27%, Jul 20: 26%, Jul 20: 28%, Jul 20: 27%, Jul 21: 26%, Jul 21: 27%, Jul 21: 26%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 27%, Jul 21: 27%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 24%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 30%, Jul 21: 31%, Jul 21: 30%, Jul 21: 31%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 25%, Jul 21: 28%, Jul 21: 29%, Jul 22: 29%, Jul 22: 29%, Jul 22: 28%, Jul 22: 28%, Jul 22: 28%, Jul 22: 28%, Jul 22: 29%, Jul 22: 29%, Jul 22: 29%, Jul 22: 29%, Jul 22: 29%, Jul 22: 27%, Jul 22: 27%, Jul 22: 27%, Jul 22: 27%, Jul 22: 28%, Jul 22: 30%, Jul 22: 31%, Jul 22: 32%, Jul 22: 33%, Jul 22: 33%, Jul 22: 33%, Jul 22: 36%, Jul 22: 37%, Jul 22: 35%, Jul 22: 34%, Jul 22: 32%, Jul 22: 34%, Jul 22: 36%, Jul 22: 36%, Jul 22: 36%, Jul 22: 35%, Jul 22: 36%, Jul 22: 36%, Jul 22: 35%, Jul 22: 37%, Jul 22: 34%, Jul 22: 34%, Jul 22: 39%, Jul 22: 38%, Jul 22: 37%, Jul 22: 37%, Jul 22: 36%, Jul 22: 35%, Jul 22: 34%, Jul 22: 34%, Now: 34%

The WeeBet Angle

Iran full airspace closure by July 31 on Polymarket

34% — Real money is repricing this.

34%

Implied

$108.5k

Liquidity

+7pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Iran full airspace closure by July 31??: As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 34% probability of YES (up 5 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Iran full airspace closure by July 31??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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