Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” a 60% chance of resolving YES, up 5 points over the past 24 hours. $221.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on September 16, 2026. A YES price of 60% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
60¢
up 5 points 24h
NO
40¢
24h volume
$221.5k
Open interest
—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?" moved from 38% to 60% across 167 points. Current 60%. Data points: Jul 14: 38%, Jul 14: 38%, Jul 14: 38%, Jul 14: 38%, Jul 14: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 39%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 39%, Jul 15: 39%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 38%, Jul 15: 37%, Jul 15: 36%, Jul 15: 36%, Jul 15: 36%, Jul 15: 36%, Jul 15: 36%, Jul 15: 36%, Jul 15: 36%, Jul 29: 56%, Jul 29: 52%, Jul 29: 52%, Jul 29: 53%, Jul 29: 53%, Jul 29: 52%, Jul 29: 53%, Jul 29: 53%, Jul 29: 53%, Jul 29: 52%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 54%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 55%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 56%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 56%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 57%, Jul 30: 56%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 52%, Jul 30: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 52%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 54%, Jul 31: 54%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 54%, Jul 31: 54%, Jul 31: 54%, Jul 31: 53%, Jul 31: 54%, Jul 31: 55%, Jul 31: 56%, Jul 31: 56%, Jul 31: 56%, Jul 31: 56%, Jul 31: 56%, Jul 31: 57%, Jul 31: 57%, Jul 31: 57%, Jul 31: 57%, Jul 31: 57%, Jul 31: 56%, Jul 31: 57%, Jul 31: 59%, Jul 31: 60%, Jul 31: 60%, Jul 31: 60%, Jul 31: 59%, Jul 31: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 59%, Aug 1: 60%, Aug 1: 60%, Now: 60%
The WeeBet Angle
the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting on Polymarket
60% — Real money is repricing this.
Trade this market
WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.
Open on Polymarket →- Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
- No min deposit
- Since 2021
Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.
More economy markets
FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting??
- As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 60% probability of YES (up 5 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.