Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” a 87% chance of resolving YES, up 3 points over the past 24 hours. $3.64M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on September 16, 2026. A YES price of 87% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
87¢
up 3 points 24h
NO
13¢
24h volume
$3.64M
Open interest
—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?" moved from 24% to 87% across 1341 points. Current 87%. Data points: Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 25%, Aug 17: 25%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 29%, Aug 17: 30%, Aug 17: 30%, Aug 17: 30%, Aug 17: 29%, Aug 17: 30%, Aug 17: 30%, Aug 17: 28%, Aug 17: 28%, Aug 17: 27%, Aug 17: 27%, Aug 18: 27%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 29%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 18: 28%, Aug 19: 29%, Aug 19: 29%, Aug 19: 29%, 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87%
The WeeBet Angle
the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting on Polymarket
87% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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More economy markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting??
- As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 87% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.